We are now living every SHTF novel you've ever read....

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Marine
Posts: 25
Joined: Sat Sep 21, 2019 1:40 pm

We are now living every SHTF novel you've ever read....

Post by Marine » Tue Mar 24, 2020 1:47 am

CDC - 2017 stats, seasonal flu resulted in 0.8% of registered flu deaths in the US. (published June 24, 2019, current data)

https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/nvsr/nvsr ... 09-508.pdf

Mortality experience in 2017
NCHS reports can be downloaded from: https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/products/index.htm.

Total number of influenza deaths in 2017: 55,672 (https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/nvsr/nvsr ... 09-508.pdf)
US Population: 327m
Number of symptomatic influenza cases in 2017-2018: 45m (https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/burden/index.html)

55,672 / 45m = .0012371 = 0.1% CFR using standard rounding.

The CCP chinese flu is currently at 5.7%. If you remove China's numbers, it's about 14%.

And we all know China is lying. In fact, there's compelling evidence that their actual death toll is probably closer to 15 million.

This is a real thing, and we are lagging hard behind Italy and Spain. And it will be worse for us, because of our spoiled, soft, entitled, selfish society.


first 67 days: 100,000
Next 11 Days: 200,000
Next 4 days: 300,000

Average 20% require hospitalization.
Do the math for yourself in the US. Exponential growth is something most humans don't understand. We typically think linearly, not exponentially.

Once the hospitals and healthcare systems are overloaded and collapse, EVERYTHING else will follow.

People need to understand the gravity of this situation. This is literally the SHTF situation most of us have been prepping for for year. This isn't going to be over in a few weeks or months, or likely even a year or two.

It will never go back to "normal".

Add in all the other 2nd, 3rd, 4th order effects... and this becomes an overwhelming impossible situation in a hurry.

And don't forget to factor in the war posturing of enemy states and how they might exploit this with the US. And mother nature is going through menopause right now as well apparently. And we have space rocks coming at us at a higher rate than I can ever remember being reported, and danger close as well.

Wish you all well. I hope your prepared as you can be. We are now living every SHTF novel we've ever read.

Notenoughtime3
Posts: 36
Joined: Wed Oct 02, 2019 5:07 pm

Re: We are now living every SHTF novel you've ever read....

Post by Notenoughtime3 » Tue Mar 24, 2020 1:34 pm

Fun stuff.

Plagues, world wide economic collapse, incoming space rocks and possible Chinese Red Dawn.

What could go wrong?

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